According to AAMC's statistics (https://www.aamc.org/download/161690/data/table17-facts2010mcatgpa99-10-web.pdf.pdf), the competitiveness of medical school admissions is showing an increasing trend (academically speaking).
From 1999-2010, the average matriculant overall GPA has increased from 3.59 to 3.67. In that same time frame, the average matriculant MCAT score has increased from 29.7 to 31.1. While this is not an astronomical jump in averages, it could indicate an even more competitive pool of competition for future med school applicants.
If this trend continues, in approximately 49 years from now, the average overall GPA of medical school applicants will be 4.0! In 49 years the average MCAT score will be 36.8!
I'm not a stats guru, but I'd think that this trend would level off at some point. I'm also curious to know why the trend continues upwards? Are students smarter or classes easier? The trend is similar for the overall applicant pool as well.
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